Costa do Marfim derruba cacau em NY

Após quatro meses de impasse, a Costa do Marfim está prestes a chegar a uma solução para sua crise política. E com isso, os grandes consumidores de cacau respiram aliviados. O país africano é o maior produtor mundial da amêndoa.

As notícias sobre uma negociação para a renúncia do presidente Laurent Gbagbo, que, apesar de derrotado nas eleições do ano passado se recusou a abandonar o cargo, pautaram o mercado futuro de cacau ao longo do dia de ontem. Na bolsa de Nova York, os contratos com vencimento em julho fecharam o dia a US$ 2.993 por tonelada, com queda de U$ 46. Em Londres, os papéis com o mesmo vencimento fecharam a 1.911 libras esterlinas, recuo de 44 libras. Em Ilhéus e Itabuna, na Bahia, o preço médio da arroba ficou em R$ 75,50.

“O fim da turbulência está finalmente à vista “, disse Boyd Cruel, analista-sênior da Vision Financial Markets, de Chicago, em entrevista à Bloomberg. “Os preços devem recuar mais”.

De acordo com as Nações Unidas, três generais leais a Gbagbo negociavam ontem os termos de sua saída com garantias de segurança a ele e sua família. A saída de Gbagbo ocorre um dia depois do ataque de tropas francesas e da ONU ao país – e também da forte pressão de Washington.

Autoridades francesas dizem que a renúncia estava muito perto de acontecer, embora até o fechamento desta edição não havia sido tomada a decisão.

A turbulência política da Costa do Marfim atingiu o cacau depois que Alassane Ouattara, presidente eleito e reconhecido internacionalmente, impôs embargo às exportações do produto em janeiro, como forma de afetar a receita do governo de seu rival.

A medida impediu o escoamento de cerca de 400 mil toneladas de cacau, que ficaram estocados em silos próximos ao porto. Segundo analistas de mercado, esses estoques poderiam chegar à Europa em seis semanas, a partir do fim do embargo.

“Aproximadamente 1,5 milhão de toneladas está estocada no país”, disse o analista Victor Lopes, da Standard Chartered, à Bloomberg. “Por isso, não surpreende que, com a melhora no cenário político, os preços do cacau caiam de forma significativa”.

Antes a mais “lenta” das commodities no mercado agrícola, o cacau registrou uma guinada nos preços desde a eleição de novembro, que culminou com o impasse político e meses de violência que vitimaram mais de 500 pessoas no país, segundo as Nações Unidas. Em novembro de 2010, a tonelada do cacau valia, em Nova York, US$ 2.807. Chegou a atingir US$ 3.695 em fevereiro deste ano.

“Poucos especuladores querem que a volta de exportações demore a acontecer”, disse Keith Flury, analista do Rabobank International, em Londres. A Costa do Marfim fornece cerca de um terço do cacau consumido no mundo. A expectativa do país para a safra atual é de 1,3 milhão de toneladas.

Ascom-Rezende

Fonte: SEAGRI

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  187. Thanks for the sensible critique. Me & my neighbor were just preparing to do a little research about this. We got a grab a book from our local library but I think I learned more from this post. I’m very glad to see such wonderful information being shared freely out there.

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  190. One thing I’d like to comment on is that weightloss system fast can be performed by the appropriate diet and exercise. People’s size not merely affects appearance, but also the complete quality of life. Self-esteem, depression, health risks, plus physical abilities are disturbed in excess weight. It is possible to make everything right and still gain. If this happens, a problem may be the offender. While excessive food instead of enough body exercise are usually guilty, common health conditions and traditionally used prescriptions may greatly increase size. Thanks alot : ) for your post here.

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  199. One important thing is that when you are searching for a student loan you may find that you will want a cosigner. There are many scenarios where this is true because you should find that you do not employ a past credit ranking so the financial institution will require that you have someone cosign the loan for you. Great post.

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